Dorser The Enforcer Season Record: 10-20 (50%)
Let us not only forget about last week but we will not even talk about it in a recap. Let us dive right into week 3 in which I am going to guarantee this to be my best week of the season thus far.
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WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS
GEORGIA SOUTHERN +20 GEORGIA TECH
Georgia Southern in the last three years are 4-0 ATS in non-conference games and 3-0 as an underdog. Georgia Tech is giving up 184 yards on the ground this year and GSU is averaging 422 on the ground in the last two games. Georgia tech has played Wofford and Tulane in relatively close games.
Prediction: Georgia Southern with the points.
IOWA STATE +10 IOWA
The average margin of victory in the last 3 years in this series, is 4. Iowa has had terrible outings against N. Iowa and Ball State at home over the last two weeks. Although Iowa State hasn’t won a game this year, they played stiff competition in N. Dakota State and Kansas State. Iowa is 4-12 ATS in Home games the last 3 years.
Prediction: Iowa State with the points.
WEST VIRGINIA +3.5 MARYLAND
This game caught my eye because I imagined that West Virginia would be a 14 point favorite. The West Virginia offense has been unbelievable these past two games and gave Alabama a run for their money 2 weeks ago. They are netting 500 TYG and Clint Trickett is looking like what WVU anticipated coming from Florida State. Maryland is giving up 280 YPG this season against James Madison and South Florida.
Prediction: West Virginia with the points.
GEORGIA -5 SOUTH CAROLINA
Georgia is coming off a Bye Week which gave them 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Jeremy Pruitt is the best defensive coordinator in the nation and is a possible Top Candidate for any head coaching job in college football. The three headed monster in Georgia behind Gurley is going to open up the passing game to a terrible secondary in South Carolina that is giving up 416 YPG so far this year. I believe this will be Hutson Mason’s coming out game as he will lead the Bulldogs to a double digit win in Columbia.
Prediction: Georgia against the spread.
ARKANSAS +2.5 TEXAS TECH
This is not your typical Texas Tech Air Raid Offense that you are used to seeing. They average over 100 penalty yards a game and QB Davis Webb looks shaky at times. Tech has not played an SEC team in the last 3 years and this Arkansas team can run the ball! Arkansas played tough against Auburn (even with a loss it had to boost the team’s confidence). Winning the following game to break the 10 game losing streak supports the reasoning that they have confidence again this season. This game is being held at AT&T stadium which also favors Arkansas.
Prediction: Arkansas with the points.
UTAH STATE -14 WAKE FOREST
Utah State is 7-1 ATS in the month of September and they are also 5-1 as a favorite when the line is 10.5 -21 points. Wake Forest just suspended their backup QB for a DUI and dismissed their leading rusher from last season earlier this week. Chuckie Keeton has struggled badly this year. This will be a huge game for him on the ground and through the air.
Prediction: Utah State against the Spread.
KENTUCKY +17.5 FLORIDA
Kentucky is a very balanced team thus far this season. I am in love with what Coach Stoops has done with this program! Patrick Towles was a highly recruited kid from Kentucky two years ago and has played great this year thus far. This team incorporates a running back by committee approach with Braylon Heard transferring from Nebraska. This game could be a tough one for Florida in the trenches! This Kentucky Defense is athletic and active, forcing 6 turnovers so far this season. Florida has Jeff Driskel back and we all know how terrible he can be at times. Florida is overrated this year and always have high expectations from the media. Kentucky is going to come in and not only cover the spread, but will win this game.
Prediction: Kentucky with the points.
PENN STATE -3.5 RUTGERS
Christian Hackenberg is the best QB in the Big Ten and has potential to become a future #1 overall pick in the NFL. This Penn State Defense is giving up under 50 YPG on the ground. The offense is averaging 387 YPG through the air while Rutgers is allowing 350 YPG in the air (they also gave up over 500 against Washington State.) I believe Vegas is not appreciating the value of Hackenberg who showed his leadership last week against Akron. Penn State will come into this game with a lot of motivation because of the sanctions being lifted. Rutgers is going to struggle to move the ball against this smothering defense and lose their first Big Ten game.
Prediction: Penn State against the spread.
USC -16.5 BOSTON COLLEGE
USC is back and USC is hungry! Steve Sarkisian has come into USC with the mindset that he has something to prove, unlike Lane Kiffin. Boston College allowed over 400 yards to Pittsburgh last week and 300 coming from the ground. This will not be a letdown game for the Trojans – they are going to swallow this offense of Boston College that relies so heavily on the run. I consider this to be a 4 touchdown favorite in USC favor.
Prediction: USC against the spread.
ARIZONA STATE -15.5 COLORADO
Arizona State is 5-0 against the spread versus Colorado and has put up over 50 points the last two seasons. Arizona State is averaging almost 350 YPG on the ground and 250 through the air this season. Colorado is giving up 385 total YPG so far this season and will get thumped late Saturday night. Arizona St. as a road favorite is 5-1 in the last 3 years ATS.
Prediction: Arizona State against the spread.