How far would your swing actually travel? Exit velocity tells you how hard you hit the ball off the bat, but on its own it doesn’t tell you whether that screaming line drive would clear the wall at Fenway or be a routine fly out at Comerica. The answer depends on launch angle as much as raw bat speed. A 105 mph rocket at 10 degrees ends up as a hard single. The same 105 mph at 28 degrees clears the fence at every MLB park. This calculator uses the batted ball physics model from Dr. Alan Nathan at the University of Illinois — the same trajectory math MLB uses for its Statcast distance estimates — to show you exactly where your hit would end up.
Exit velocity distance calculator
Enter your exit velocity and launch angle to see how far the ball travels and which MLB parks it would clear.
Estimated distance
Fly ball — well struck
MLB park verdict
Your hit would be a HOME RUN at every MLB park. The shortest center field fence in MLB is ~400 ft, and your ball traveled well beyond that.
How this works: Distance estimates are based on the batted ball trajectory model developed by Dr. Alan Nathan at the University of Illinois. Real batted ball distance also depends on backspin, weather, altitude, and air density — this calculator assumes average MLB conditions. Use the results as a guideline, not a strict prediction.
Exit velocity reference
The hardest-hit balls in MLB history, average exit velocities by level, and what counts as “good” at every stage.
Hardest-hit balls in MLB Statcast era (2015-present)
Top 10 highest exit velocities ever recorded by Statcast
#
Player
EV (mph)
Year
Result
1
Giancarlo Stanton
122.2
2018
Single off Brad Boxberger. Statcast era record.
2
Oneil Cruz
122.4
2022
Line drive single. Pirates rookie shortstop.
3
Aaron Judge
121.1
2017
Home run vs Orioles. Iconic blast.
4
Stanton (multiple)
120.6
2017
Home run. One of his many top-10 hits.
5
Yordan Alvarez
120.5
2022
Home run. Astros postseason hero.
6
Gary Sánchez
120.0
2018
Home run. Yankees catcher.
7
Shohei Ohtani
119.0
2023
Home run. Two-way star.
8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
118.9
2021
Home run vs Yankees.
9
Nelson Cruz
118.5
2018
Single, line drive past third base.
10
Joey Gallo
118.4
2018
Home run. Three True Outcomes hitter.
Average exit velocity by level
What counts as “average” and “good” at each level of baseball
Level
Average
Good
Elite
Notes
MLB
88-90
95+
110+
League max EV averages around 115 mph for top sluggers.
College D1
85-87
92+
100+
Top D1 prospects regularly hit 100+. Pro scouts watch for 105+.
High School Varsity
75-80
85+
95+
95+ EV is D1 recruiting territory. 100+ is top prospect level.
14U-15U Travel
65-72
75+
85+
Big growth jumps happen here. EV often increases 10+ mph in a year.
12U-13U Travel
55-65
70+
75+
Bat-to-ball skill matters more than EV at this age.
10U-11U
45-55
60+
65+
Don’t obsess over EV at this age. Develop swing mechanics first.
Launch angle classification chart
What each launch angle range produces in MLB
Launch Angle
Hit Type
What it means
Below 10°
Ground ball
Worm-burner. With high EV (95+), can become a sharp single. Low EV = easy out.
10° to 25°
Line drive
Highest BA range. With 95+ EV, batting average over .700.
25° to 35°
Fly ball (sweet spot)
Optimal HR range. With 100+ EV, most home runs come from 26-30° launch angle.
35° to 50°
High fly ball
Distance falls off above 35°. Most fly outs happen here.
Above 50°
Pop up
Routine play. Worst outcome regardless of exit velocity.
The takeaway
The 2010s analytics revolution proved that combining high exit velocity with optimal launch angle is the recipe for offensive production. The “sweet spot” combo — 95+ mph EV at 26-30° launch angle — produces home runs at incredibly high rates. But pure exit velocity alone isn’t enough: Giancarlo Stanton’s 122 mph record came on a single, not a home run. The ball needs the right launch angle to find the seats. That’s why modern hitting coaches teach swing path optimization, not just bat speed. To explore actual MLB exit velocity and launch angle data for any hitter, the Statcast Search tool at Baseball Savant is the definitive source.
Sources: MLB Baseball Savant, Statcast, Perfect Game USA. Through 2025 season.
Exit velocity is measured at the moment the ball leaves the bat. MLB hitters average around 88-90 mph, with elite power hitters consistently hitting 95+ and topping out near 115 mph on their hardest contact. Below the major league level, EV scales with age, strength, and bat speed. A typical high school varsity hitter averages 75-80 mph EV, and a D1 college prospect needs to be in the 92+ range to get pro scouts paying attention.
The calculator above accounts for both EV and launch angle, but real batted ball distance also depends on factors the calculator doesn’t model: backspin, side spin, air density, altitude, temperature, humidity, and wind. A ball hit at Coors Field in Denver travels roughly 5-6% farther than the same hit at sea level. A 95-degree summer day adds another few feet versus a 50-degree spring evening. The calculator gives you a clean estimate using average MLB conditions — treat the result as a guideline, not an exact prediction.
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Why launch angle matters as much as exit velocity
The 2015 Statcast revolution proved something old-school baseball coaches resisted for years: launch angle is just as important as bat speed. Two hitters with identical 100 mph average exit velocities can produce wildly different offensive output if one averages 8 degrees launch angle (mostly grounders) and the other averages 18 degrees (mostly line drives). The line drive hitter will have a substantially higher batting average and OPS.
The “barrel” — Statcast’s term for the optimal EV/LA combination that produces home runs — happens at roughly 98+ mph EV and 26-30 degrees launch angle. That’s the sweet spot. Hit a barrel and you’re getting a hit about 80% of the time, with most of those being extra-base hits. Modern hitting coaches now teach swing path optimization specifically to maximize barrel rate, which is why launch angles across MLB have climbed from around 10 degrees in 2015 to over 12 degrees in 2025.
For real Statcast data on every MLB hitter — actual exit velocities, launch angles, expected batting averages on contact, barrel rates, and more — Baseball Savant is the definitive source. It’s MLB’s official Statcast portal and has searchable data on every batted ball since 2015. For analytical context on how exit velocity and launch angle predict offensive performance across the league, FanGraphs publishes detailed leaderboards with EV and LA data alongside traditional stats.
The simple takeaway: exit velocity gets headlines, but launch angle wins games.
— Drew, Legion Report
