| Rank | Name | Odds | Implied | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin McGonigle | -1,329 | 93% | ▼ 1 |
| 2 | Parker Messick | +1,438 | 6.5% | ▼ 2 |
| 3 | Lazaro Montes | +2,400 | 4.0% | — |
| 4 | Hagen Smith | +3,233 | 3.0% | — |
| 5 | Braden Montgomery | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 6 | Chase DeLauter | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 7 | Connelly Early | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 8 | Colt Emerson | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 9 | Carter Jensen | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 10 | Carson Williams | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 11 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 12 | Gage Jump | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 13 | George Lombard Jr. | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 14 | Josue BriceƱo | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 15 | Kazuma Okamoto | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 16 | Sam Antonacci | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 17 | Max Clark | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 18 | Munetaka Murakami | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 19 | Noah Schultz | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 20 | Payton Tolle | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 21 | Samuel Basallo | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 22 | Spencer Jones Jr. | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 23 | Sebastian Walcott | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 24 | Travis Bazzana | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
| 25 | Tie/Co-Winners | +9,900 | 1.0% | — |
Odds are the live price on Kalshi’s prediction market expressed as an American line, refreshed every two minutes; sportsbook prices will differ. Implied is the market’s probability. 24h is the move in percentage points since the previous day’s close.
How the Award Works
The AL Rookie of the Year award honors the American League’s best first year player. It is voted on by members of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America, two writers from each league city, who submit their ballots at the end of the regular season, before the playoffs begin, so postseason results do not count. The winner is announced in November. The odds above are live prediction market prices that refresh every two minutes, and the implied column shows the market’s chance for each candidate.
Recent Winners
| Season | Winner | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Nick Kurtz | Athletics |
| 2024 | Luis Gil | New York Yankees |
| 2023 | Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles |
| 2022 | Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners |
| 2021 | Randy Arozarena | Tampa Bay Rays |
More MLB Awards Odds
NL Rookie of the Year odds · AL MVP odds · NL MVP odds · AL Cy Young odds · NL Cy Young odds · World Series odds
Past results and voting totals are available from the BBWAA and Baseball Reference.
Odds are for information only. Must be 21 or older where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.