Ryan Garcia is a -370 favorite to keep his WBC welterweight title against Conor Benn, who is +275, for Saturday’s main event at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. That is roughly a 79 percent implied chance for the champion. UK books have listed Benn at about 5 to 1 to win by knockout, which is the long shot the British money is chasing.
| Bout | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn (WBC welterweight title) | Garcia -370 | Benn +275 |
| Jai Opetaia vs. Noel Mikaelian (cruiserweight titles) | Opetaia -1400 | Mikaelian +700 |
| Mark Magsayo vs. Andres Cortes (lightweight) | Magsayo -165 | Cortes +130 |
Lines per CBS Sports as of Friday. They move on fight day; check your book for the current number.
Why Garcia Is the Favorite
Speed and power. Garcia has 20 knockouts in 25 wins and the left hook that put Devin Haney down three times. Benn has 14 knockouts in 25 wins, has never fought for a world title and is moving into the fight after a hard cut to 147 that has been a storyline all week. Garcia’s two losses were both to elite lightweights (Davis, Romero); Benn’s only loss was the first Eubank fight, which he avenged.
The Case for Benn
Benn is the naturally bigger man at welterweight, has a high work rate and beat a real former champion in Regis Prograis five months ago. Garcia has looked erratic when his preparation slips, and this is his first defense after a long layoff since February. At +275 the price is not crazy for a mandatory challenger with a full camp.
Method and Rounds
The books lean toward a Garcia decision or a mid to late knockout; Benn’s clearest path in the market is a decision after 12 rounds of pressure. Round props and method odds vary widely by book and are not listed here.
Related: how to watch, start time, fight card, purse.
The Bottom Line
Garcia -370, Benn +275. The champion is a clear favorite, the co-main is a bigger mismatch on the odds board, and Magsayo vs. Cortes is the closest fight on the main card.