Texas State vs. Texas Prediction, Odds, Spread, TV Channel and How to Watch

FINAL SCORE
Texas 59, Texas State 7
1 2 3 4 T
Texas State 0 7 0 0 7
Texas 14 14 21 10 59
Our pick was Texas 45, Texas State 13. Texas won as expected and then some, scoring in every quarter for a 52 point margin.

Final. Saturday, September 5, 2026. Kicked off 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Texas opens at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium against Texas State, a Sun Belt program from San Marcos located about 30 miles down the interstate. It is the shortest road trip on anyone’s Week 1 schedule.

WEEK 1 · AFTERNOON WINDOW
Texas State at Texas
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET · ESPN · Austin, Texas
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET · 2:30 CT · 1:30 MT · 12:30 PT
TV ESPN
Streaming ESPN App, Disney+, Fubo, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, Sling Orange
Venue Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin

A 30-Mile Road Trip

Texas State is in San Marcos, half an hour south of Austin on I-35. These programs recruit overlapping territory and their fanbases overlap too, which gives the game a local edge it would otherwise lack.

Texas State has built a respectable Sun Belt operation and has been trending upward. The gap remains large, but this is not a random FCS body-bag game.

Texas’s Season Setup

The Longhorns open at home before an SEC schedule that includes hosting Arkansas on November 21 and Mississippi State on Halloween weekend. A clean, quick start is the objective.

Afternoon Heat in Austin

A 2:30 local kickoff in Austin in early September routinely means field temperatures well above 100 degrees. Both teams are acclimated, but it shortens rotations and favours whichever side has the deeper roster — which is Texas by a wide margin.

How to Watch

ESPN carries it nationally, with a Disney+ streaming option now available alongside the traditional routes. Fubo, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream and Sling Orange all carry ESPN.

It shares the 3:30 window with Boise State at Oregon on CBS, Baylor vs. Auburn on ABC, and Marshall at Penn State on FS1.

Prediction and Odds

Line: Texas -29.5, total 59.5 (DraftKings).

No. 5 Texas opens with Arch Manning’s third season and a roster built for a playoff run. Texas State, now a Pac-12 member, has enough offense to put up points but not enough defense to slow the Longhorns. Texas has historically been sharp in openers at DKR, and the total is high enough that the Longhorns can cover even in a shootout.

Our pick: Texas 45, Texas State 13. Texas covers. See all of our Week 1 predictions.

The Bottom Line

Texas State at Texas kicks off 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, September 5 on ESPN from Austin. The visitors travel 30 miles, and afternoon heat will be a factor for both sides.