AP Poll Projection: Predicting the Week 2 College Football Top 25 After Saturday’s Games

The Week 2 AP poll comes out Sunday around 2 p.m. ET, with four ranked teams (Notre Dame, Ole Miss, Washington, SMU) still to play. This is our projection of how voters react to Saturday, built on how the poll has historically treated blowouts, scares and one score wins over Group of Five teams. The real poll goes on our AP top 25 page the moment it drops, and this page updates every Saturday night through the season.

WEEK 2 AP POLL PROJECTION
Ohio State stays, Georgia climbs, Michigan drops
Movement column shows change from the preseason poll · Sunday and Monday teams held in place
Proj. Team Week 1 Move
1 Ohio State 56 to 3 vs. Ball State Holds
2 Georgia 63 to 3 vs. Tennessee State Up 1
3 Oregon 34 to 27 vs. Boise State, trailed at half Down 1
4 Notre Dame Plays Wisconsin Sunday Holds
5 Texas 59 to 7 vs. Texas State Holds
6 Indiana 52 to 16 vs. North Texas Holds
7 Miami 45 to 6 at Stanford Friday Holds
8 Texas A&M 50 to 0 vs. Missouri State Holds
9 LSU 51 to 10 vs. Clemson Up 2
10 Ole Miss Plays Louisville Sunday Down 1
11 Oklahoma 51 to 0 vs. UTEP Friday Down 1
12 Texas Tech 33 to 10 vs. Abilene Christian Holds
13 Alabama 48 to 10 vs. East Carolina Holds
14 BYU 63 to 7 vs. Utah Tech Holds
15 USC 39 to 0 vs. Fresno State Friday Holds
16 Penn State 45 to 0 vs. Marshall Up 2
17 Washington Plays Washington State Sunday Holds
18 SMU Plays Florida State Monday Up 1
19 Tennessee 56 to 9 vs. Furman Up 1
20 Utah 66 to 14 vs. Idaho Thursday Up 1
21 Iowa 40 to 0 vs. Northern Illinois Up 1
22 Michigan 13 to 12 vs. Western Michigan on a disputed Hail Mary Down 6
23 Houston 33 to 20 vs. Oregon State Holds
24 Louisville Plays Ole Miss Sunday Holds
25 Missouri 54 to 14 vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff Thursday Holds

The Calls

Georgia over Oregon. Voters rarely drop a top three team for a win, but a seven point home win over a Group of Five team in which the Ducks trailed at halftime, on the same day Georgia won 63 to 3, is the kind of split that flips a No. 2 and No. 3. It is close; if Oregon holds at 2 it is by a handful of points.

LSU up, not way up. 51 to 10 over an unranked Clemson team that looked broken earns a two spot climb into the top 10, not a top five leap. Ole Miss and Oklahoma each slide one spot to make room, with Ole Miss able to win it back Sunday night.

Michigan down six. A 27.5 point favorite that needed a replay decision to beat a MAC team at home usually falls into the 20s. The Wolverines stay ranked because there is no one obvious to replace them, and Oklahoma at the Big House next week decides whether they stay at all.

Nobody new. Oklahoma State was unranked before it lost to Tulsa, so the top 25 has no opening. Boise State, Auburn (17 to 16 over Baylor) and Nebraska are the first teams on the outside, and Boise State’s performance in Eugene will get it the most votes of any unranked team.

The Bottom Line

Our projected Week 2 AP poll has Ohio State at No. 1, Georgia at No. 2 over Oregon, LSU into the top 10 at No. 9, Penn State up to 16 and Michigan down to 22, with Notre Dame, Ole Miss, Washington and SMU held in place until they play. The real poll replaces this projection on our AP top 25 rankings page Sunday afternoon.