Boise State vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds, Spread, TV Channel and How to Watch

FINAL SCORE
Oregon 34, Boise State 27
1 2 3 4 T
Boise State 7 10 7 3 27
Oregon 0 14 10 10 34
Our pick was Oregon 34, Boise State 13. Oregon won with exactly the 34 we called, Boise State covered the 24.5 as we expected, but the total went over 52.5 after the Broncos led 17 to 14 at halftime.

Final. Saturday, September 5, 2026. Kicked off 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

No. 2 Oregon opens its season at Autzen Stadium against Boise State, the program the Ducks nearly lost to two years ago in a 37 to 34 game decided by a walk off field goal. Oregon is coming off a 13 and 2 year and brings back quarterback Dante Moore, who turned down the NFL Draft to return. Boise State is starting its first season as a Pac-12 member after a 9 and 5 finish.

WEEK 1 · AFTERNOON WINDOW
Boise State at No. 2 Oregon
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET · CBS · Autzen Stadium
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET · 2:30 p.m. CT · 1:30 p.m. MT · 12:30 p.m. PT
TV CBS
Streaming Paramount+, Fubo, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream, or free over the air
Venue Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon
Line Oregon by 24.5 at most books; total 52.5. Check yours before kickoff.

Prediction and Odds

The number is big for a reason. Oregon has the highest preseason ranking in school history, a returning starting quarterback in Moore and a defense that closed last season as one of the best in the country. But the trends lean the other way: Boise State is 4 and 0 against the spread in the last four meetings, the Broncos went 8 and 5 and 1 against the number last year, and Oregon covered only three of six games as a favorite of 24.5 or more. Expect the Ducks to control it without running away, and a low scoring game that stays under the total.

Our pick: Oregon 34, Boise State 13. Oregon wins; Boise State covers 24.5; under 52.5 hits.

Why This One Matters

Oregon is a national title contender and this is its only real test before Big Ten play. Boise State is the preseason favorite in the new Pac-12 and a Group of Five program with playoff ambitions, so keeping this within three scores would validate the move. The two teams have played three straight one score games.

How to Watch Without Cable

CBS is free over the air with an antenna and streams live on Paramount+ (Premium plan for the local CBS feed). Fubo, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV and DirecTV Stream all carry CBS. See our streaming guide.

The Bottom Line

Boise State at Oregon kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday, September 5 on CBS. Oregon is our pick to win, Boise State our pick to cover. Result on our live scoreboard.