| Rank | Name | Odds | Implied | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Smith | +308 | 25% | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Darian Mensah | +456 | 18% | — |
| 3 | Kamario Taylor | +506 | 17% | ▲ 3 |
| 4 | Trinidad Chambliss | +1,150 | 8.0% | — |
| 5 | Jadan Baugh | +1,150 | 8.0% | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | Keelon Russell | +1,233 | 7.5% | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | CJ Carr | +1,718 | 5.5% | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Malachi Toney | +2,757 | 3.5% | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | Gunner Stockton | +3,900 | 2.5% | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Arch Manning | +3,900 | 2.5% | ▲ 1 |
Odds are the live price on Kalshi’s prediction market expressed as an American line, refreshed every two minutes; sportsbook prices will differ. Implied is the market’s probability. 24h is the move in percentage points since the previous day’s close.
The live top 10 above reprices every two minutes. Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor has gone from a sophomore few picked as a Heisman contender to third on the board at about +550 after four games, and he leads a 4-0 team ranked No. 16. He threw for 360 yards and three touchdowns in a 31 to 24 comeback win over No. 19 Missouri, including the go ahead 24 yard touchdown to Sanfrisco Magee with 3:57 left. Next up is the biggest test of his career: No. 7 Alabama in Starkville on Saturday at noon ET on ABC.
His 2026 Season So Far
| Date | Opponent | Passing |
|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5 | UL Monroe | 22 of 34, 354 yards, 4 TD |
| Sept. 12 | at Minnesota | 16 of 22, 227 yards, 3 TD |
| Sept. 19 | at South Carolina | 18 of 26, 251 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT; won 41 to 34 |
| Sept. 26 | No. 19 Missouri | 360 yards, 3 TD; won 31 to 24 |
Full game logs are on Kamario Taylor stats.
How He Got Here
Taylor was a highly recruited quarterback from Noxubee County, Mississippi, who chose Mississippi State over Georgia, Texas A&M and Missouri. He took over as the starter late in 2025, making his first start in the Egg Bowl against Ole Miss, and has thrown at least three touchdowns in every game this season. ESPN’s Desmond Howard ranked him second in a hypothetical Heisman vote on College GameDay, behind Trinidad Chambliss, before Chambliss and Ole Miss lost at Florida.
The Case For and Against
For: elite efficiency, an unbeaten record, two SEC wins and the kind of breakout story voters remember. Against: Mississippi State is not a traditional power, which limits national exposure, and quarterbacks at bigger programs will get more prime time windows. Beating Alabama on Saturday would do more for his candidacy than any statistic.
The Bottom Line
Kamario Taylor is about +550 for the Heisman after Week 4, third behind Jeremiah Smith and Darian Mensah, with Mississippi State 4-0. Alabama at noon Saturday is his chance to move into the top two. The full board is on Heisman odds, and the game is on the Alabama vs. Mississippi State page.